November 13, 2023
COVID-19
Most states had increasing COVID-19 prevalence this past week. Effectively all states, except Hawaii, have had weeks of increasing prevalence over the past month. Put together, this week will see the start of secular increase of prevalence across most states except for the West, marking the start of the Winter wave. This wave is starting from an already high level of prevalence in most places.
States with prevalence increasing first time this week:
🔺 California
🔺 Colorado
🔺 Oregon
🔺 Texas
The Winter COVID wave starts this week
Use appropriate precautions – get vaccinated, improve indoor air quality and mask up.
Variants
The Winter wave will be largely driven by the BA.2.86* family of variants with the JN.1 variant being the most likely to determine local surges.
COVID prevalence is accelerating in states with significant prevalence of the BA.2.86* family of variants
Vaccine
10% of adults and <5% of children have received the COVID vaccine till October.
With the several months of high levels of immunity offered by the vaccines, if you have not received the vaccine yet, now is the time to get it before prevalence ramps up in December.
Flu
Flu prevalence is trending up in most states after a month of false starts
Florida
‼️ Miami has very high flu prevalence at up to 43 /area trending towards a peak in late December.
Louisiana
⚠️ New Orleans has high flu prevalence at up to 22 /area trending towards a peak in late December
California
⚠️ Los Angeles has high flu prevalence of 23 /area and San Francisco of 19 / area trending towards a peak in late January
Nationally, Flu prevalence is trending up towards a January peak with prevalence typical of an average Flu season
💉 If you have not received the flu shot already, now would be the time.
RSV
RSV prevalence is still very high in most areas except the Midwest:
♦️ California with San Francisco at up to 197 /area
♦️ Florida with Miami at up to 152 /area
♦️ New York with New York City at up to 412 /area
♦️ Texas with Houston at up to 113 /area
RSV prevalence is now peaking in the Southeast
RSV shot explainer by Dr. Michael Mina:
The good news: we are not facing a Tripledemic this winter.
Bringing the Community to Health Safety
Every day we spend much of our time in our homes with our family, but we also spend considerable time at work or at school. Together these groups constitute the most significant portion of one's community and one's exposure risk. Hence, hubbub is introducing the ability to add all members of your community to provide a comprehensive and convenient Community Risk solution.
Add your family members and invite in your coworkers and classmates to My Bub!
Week Ahead
📈 The Winter COVID-19 wave start this week.
💉 Get the COVID-19 and Flu vaccines if you have not yet.
👍 No tripledemic this winter.
📊 Get My Bub COVID forecast to plan your month ahead: https://bub.hubbubworld.com